Russia's passivity in the Egypt conflict is striking, as everyone rushes to prepare for Trump's inauguration.

Meanwhile, the "Muslim Brotherhood" has decided to stir things up in Egypt. If the situation there escalates (which is unlikely) — it would represent a pro-Turkish, Sunni initiative against Field Marshal and ruler of Egypt, al-Sisi, who, in turn, is pro-American and may even be somewhat pro-Israeli (with several clarifications).

If the Muslim Brotherhood manages to seize power in Egypt (I reiterate, the chances of this are extremely slim), it would indicate an incredibly complex special operation taking place in Ankara.

Furthermore, it would mean that Erdogan has crossed the point of no return in the Great Game and has launched his project of the Ottoman Empire 2.0, based on Sunni Arab-Turkish unity.

At this point, it seems so unbelievable that it's hard to accept, and even harder to explain logically.

Because a victory for the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt would significantly undermine Israel's success in Syria.

Thus, it's currently difficult to believe in such a scenario.

It is hard to imagine that Tel Aviv would allow a cascading collapse of its interests in Cairo while simultaneously strengthening Turkey in two locations – Syria and Egypt.

While this extremely unlikely puzzle is not coming together, the Middle East has recently been rich in extraordinary events. Especially since a large-scale operation against the Houthis is currently unfolding.

I had warned that they would be next (after Hamas, Hezbollah/Lebanon, and Syria — this is the exact sequence I mentioned, noting that the Houthis would follow). And the attack has begun.

The ground component consists of forces from northern Yemen, supported by Saudi artillery and financial investments from the UAE. In the air, Israel, Britain, and the USA are involved.

From the sea — Britain, the USA, and a joining group from the French Navy. This means that on land, Yemenis will be fighting against each other.

Some with the support of Saudi Arabia, others with the backing of Iran. Meanwhile, the USA and Israel, along with their allies, will strike with precision.

The Western coalition needs to restore safe shipping in the Red Sea and protect Israel from missile attacks by Ansar Allah.

In this context, France's position is noteworthy — it is the only EU country that has joined the operation (in exchange for help in regaining control over the African Sahel?).

It is impressively passive behavior from Russia. Earlier, through its spokespeople, Moscow promised to supply the Houthis with nearly hypersonic capabilities. But now there is silence, as if Russia had never been in the Middle East.

Personally, I am "tormented by vague doubts" regarding the so-called Great Agreement. Everything seems to be aligned with the notes or "roadmap" within the framework of the "agreed modality for conflict resolution."

In this context, as indirect confirmation, information from Iran emerged: the strategic partnership agreement with Russia will happen, but not before February 2025.

Why such a date?

Perhaps December 2024 – January 2025 represents a geopolitical window after which the situation may lead to a global freeze of major conflicts and wars (at least for a couple of years). Therefore, everyone is in a rush.

That is why there is such a delay in signing the agreement between Russia and Iran, even though it is extremely important for Tehran right now, and Moscow understands this. But Russia is holding back.

It is possible that after the aforementioned dates, when everything is frozen by the "breath of the Snow Queen," the main geopolitical players will be able to assemble the letters Ж, О, П, and А into the word "PEACE."

All of this will be sealed with agreements on strategic partnerships, each player with their own allies.

For instance, Russia — with Iran, just as it did with North Korea as a bonus for assistance in the war.

For now, there is no news on whether Ukraine will receive an additional strategic partnership agreement with the USA, akin to those with Taiwan and Israel (in addition to the already signed security guarantees agreement)?

After all, the security guarantees agreement does not exclude the possibility of signing a strategic partnership agreement, for example, in the context of nuclear security issues in Ukraine.

Are negotiations on this matter being held with Trump's team? We will find out soon.